Crypto

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

Bitcoin ETFs Attract Almost $2B in April as 2026 Turns Green

The spot Ethereum ETF ended a multi-month red streak. April turned out to be the best month for the cryptocurrency markets on different fronts since late last year,...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

Senate bans senators from prediction market bets

The US Senate voted unanimously to bar all senators and their staff from placing bets on political prediction market platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi, with the resolution authored by...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

Pirates hijack oil tanker off Yemen, raising Bab el-Mandeb Strait concerns

## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait Closure market currently shows 11% YES for May 31, down from 14% 24 hours ago. Kharg Island Control Changes and Strait of Hormuz...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

Trump retirement order opens 401k to crypto

President Trump signed an executive order on April 30 directing the Labor Department to allow Trump retirement account access to cryptocurrency, private equity, and other alternative assets inside US...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

Fighting escalates in Ukraine’s Kostiantynivka, challenging ceasefire hopes

## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions for April 30, 2026, currently reflect 0.1% YES pricing, unchanged from 24 hours ago. The May 31, 2026, sub-market shows a 6.2% YES...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

CLARITY Act hits its final window on May 21

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said at XRP Las Vegas on April 30 that if the CLARITY Act does not clear the Senate Banking Committee before the Memorial Day recess...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

BlackRock clients sell $54.7M Bitcoin amid Middle East ceasefire

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s April 27-May 3 market shows 0.1% YES probability for reaching $94,000, unchanged from the previous day. This reflects a consistent view that such a price...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

XRP at a Breaking Point: Crash to $1 or Rally to $1.8 Next?

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez has doubled down on a recent prediction of his that the popular cross-border token could be on the verge of a more profound breakout....

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

Kashkari tempers hopes for 2026 cuts as war muddies inflation path

Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari has shifted from penciling in one or two 2026 cuts to a data‑dependent stance as the Iran war and higher oil muddy the inflation...

May 2, 2026
Adam Forsyth
Crypto

Trump signs order to expedite psychedelic treatments for veterans

## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8% a week...